Compound Climate Extremes in North America and Europe: from dynamics to predictability ("CENÆ")

2021 – 2025

PI: G. Messori

CENÆ is an ERC Starting Grant focussing on compound climate extremes, and specifically wet and windy extremes in Europe and the latter with the additional co-occurrence of cold spells over North America. Elucidating the nature of these compound extremes is a societally relevant goal. However, it is not easily realised from a scientific standpoint. In this project, we will use an interdisciplinary knowledge base to elucidate the atmospheric precursors to the above compound extremes, provide a nuanced understanding of their predictability and point to new predictability pathways. The analysis framework we will develop will be highly flexible and applicable to multivariate extremes beyond climate science.

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european weather Extremes: DrIvers, Predictability and Impacts ("EDIPI")

2021 – 2024

Coordinator: G. Messori

EDIPI is a large European network of universities, research institutions and private actors, coordinated by myself in Uppsala. The project seeks to advance our understanding of the dynamics, predictability and impacts of temperature, precipitation (including drought) and surface wind extremes over Europe and the Mediterranean. We will leverage a truly interdisciplinary scientific approach embracing climate science, statistical mechanics, dynamical systems theory, risk management, agronomy, epidemiology and more to open unexplored avenues in the study of the above weather extremes. EDIPI also has a strong training component, and will train a cohort of early-stage researchers to become weather extremes experts.

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Swedish Research Council FORMAS Research Project

Large-Scale Atmospheric Variability driving changes in the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle and Storage

2019 – 2021

PI: G. Messori; Co-PIs: G. Vico, S. Manzoni and C. Beer

The aim of this project is to better understand the link between large-scale atmospheric dynamics and the terrestrial carbon cycle variability. The focus is on how long-term changes in intra-seasonal atmospheric variability can drive long-term changes in terrestrial carbon fluxes and storage at regional scales. Our results will advance our ability to forecast how the carbon sink strength and storage in Europe will vary under climate change.

As part of this project we have developed a comic strip for school students.

Swedish Foundation for International Cooperation in Research and Higher Education Initiation Grant

Atmospheric Extremes in the Antarctic Marginal Ice Zone

2018 – 2020

PI for Sweden: G. Messori; PI for South Africa: M. Vichi

What happens when a cyclone crosses the marginal ice zone in the Southern Ocean? Can we get large  waves in this region? How does this affect ocean-ice-atmosphere fluxes and ice cover? These are some of the questions this project aims to answer.

Thanks to additional funding by the South Africa Sweden University Forum, we organised a training school in Cape Town in January 2020!

Swedish Research Council Vetenskapsrådet Starting Grant

Large-Scale Organisation of Extreme Weather over Europe and North America

2017 – 2020

PI: G. Messori

The aim of this project is to better understand the link between large-scale atmospheric dynamics and regional weather extremes. Studying this link can highlight novel predictability pathways and prepare us to better understand the implications of future changes in the atmospheric circulation.

Past Grants

High latitude atmosphere, Sea-ice and ocean Sciences – HighSeaS (2020), South Africa Sweden University forum.
PI: G. Messori; Co-PI: M. Vichi.

Atmospheric pathways to improve seasonal predictability of the terrestrial carbon cycle (2017 – 2018), Bolin Centre RA4 Seed Project.
PI: G. Messori; Co-PIs: S. Manzoni and C. Beer.

Large-Scale Dynamics of European Weather Extremes (2016 – 2017), MISU Research Fellowhsip.
PI: G. Messori